Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.225998 0.256955 0.290137 0.328296 0.370910 0.416977 0.470490
2025-11-02 0.188247 0.230414 0.278589 0.337501 0.407388 0.487425 0.585792
2025-11-09 0.155963 0.203668 0.261286 0.335574 0.428341 0.539848 0.683461
2025-11-16 0.132043 0.182787 0.247201 0.334229 0.447897 0.590372 0.781386
2025-11-23 0.113376 0.165563 0.234875 0.332560 0.465364 0.638109 0.878008
2025-11-30 0.101469 0.155508 0.230261 0.339647 0.493715 0.700730 0.997157
2025-12-07 0.089626 0.143821 0.221731 0.339833 0.511753 0.749790 1.100359
2025-12-14 0.079749 0.133650 0.213991 0.339851 0.528739 0.797578 1.203816
2025-12-21 0.071624 0.125073 0.207503 0.340675 0.546281 0.846463 1.310896
2025-12-28 0.065589 0.119032 0.204113 0.345543 0.569668 0.904596 1.434037
2026-01-04 0.061048 0.114871 0.203143 0.353815 0.598408 0.971830 1.573832
2026-01-11 0.056167 0.109531 0.199640 0.357485 0.619792 1.028629 1.700309
2026-01-18 0.052127 0.105405 0.198064 0.364653 0.648041 1.098913 1.853655
2026-01-25 0.049085 0.102747 0.198726 0.375575 0.683099 1.181869 2.031474
2026-02-01 0.044451 0.096529 0.192477 0.373894 0.696693 1.230822 2.157253
2026-02-08 0.040405 0.090955 0.186814 0.372653 0.710719 1.280946 2.287209
2026-02-15 0.036749 0.085708 0.181214 0.370943 0.723577 1.329502 2.416668
2026-02-22 0.034604 0.083332 0.180843 0.378834 0.753936 1.409158 2.602177
2026-03-01 0.031818 0.079236 0.176682 0.379080 0.770187 1.465022 2.749371
2026-03-08 0.029288 0.075388 0.172628 0.379122 0.785886 1.520474 2.898182
2026-03-15 0.027084 0.072004 0.169190 0.380043 0.803152 1.579367 3.055530
2026-03-22 0.025472 0.069803 0.168024 0.385420 0.829218 1.655304 3.246574
2026-03-29 0.024293 0.068507 0.168672 0.394548 0.863088 1.747060 3.470137